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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | longliveapples | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 60% (424–287, n=711) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $19K | $14.9M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #873 | PM monthly #27 + pinned | PM monthly #72 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (37 of 43 open) | 74% (46 of 62 open) | 49% (37 of 75 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Esports −8 pts, n=25 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 343 at avg 47¢, ROI +12% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 26% (won 28% of 88) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 33% (won 46% of 112) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 19% (won 82% of 65) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 23% (won 94% of 78) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | longliveapples | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Texans | Chargers $294K | — | Texans $8.5K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Bulls $103K | — | 76ers $748 | — |
| 76ers vs. Bulls opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Bulls $7.0K | — | 76ers $779 | — |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) same side · consensus Patriots | Packers $143K | — | Packers $489 | — |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | Packers $104K | — | Packers $4.0K | — |