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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | laidaodao | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (553–663, n=1216) | 67% (29–14, n=43) | 50% (15020–15050, n=30070) | 47% (13346–14851, n=28197) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | -$256 | $3.0M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #134 | PM monthly #57 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (18 of 32 open) | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 60% (95 of 158 open) | 62% (28 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 72% of 32 at avg 73¢, ROI −1% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 22% (won 0% of 7) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 0% | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 75% (won 92% of 24) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | laidaodao | omnibus-076daa | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $17K | — | Yes $2.1K | — |
| Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova opposite sides · consensus Polina Kudermetova | — | — | Oksana Selekhmeteva $646 | Polina Kudermetova $5.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.6K | Over $943 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $840 | — | Yes $149 | — |
| Will Buriram United win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $273 | Yes $483 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $73 | No $662 |
| M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht opposite sides · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht | — | — | Aren Baybars $22 | Leonid Sheyngezikht $373 |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari opposite sides · consensus Maria Sakkari | — | — | Maya Joint $31 | Maria Sakkari $158 |
| Luanda: Suzan Lamens vs Kristina Kroitor same side · consensus Kristina Kroitor | — | — | Suzan Lamens $190 | Suzan Lamens $26K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Arthur Rinderknech same side · consensus Arthur Rinderknech | — | — | Arthur Rinderknech $2.3K | Arthur Rinderknech $22K |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | Yes $117 | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $17K | — | Yes $1.7K | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | Yes $215 | — |
| Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $12K | No $158 |
| Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen same side · consensus Otto Virtanen | — | — | Otto Virtanen $3 | Otto Virtanen $9.3K |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.6K | — | Yes $69 | — |
| W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst same side · consensus Deborah Chiesa | — | — | Deborah Chiesa $16 | Deborah Chiesa $1.2K |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $59 | — |
| M25 Heraklion: Oskari Paldanius vs Pablo Perez Ramos same side · consensus Oskari Paldanius | — | — | Oskari Paldanius $6 | Oskari Paldanius $237 |
| Buriram United leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $28 | Yes $52 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $28 | — | Yes $41 | — |