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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | justbusiness11 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 74% (26–9, n=35) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $26K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #897 | PM monthly #63 | PM monthly #36 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (28 of 32 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 53% (85 of 160 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 83% of 35 at avg 70¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 0% | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 31% (won 64% of 11) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 14% (won 80% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 54% (won 95% of 19) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | justbusiness11 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State vs. Baylor opposite sides · consensus Baylor | — | — | Iowa State $16K | Baylor $21K |
| Texas A&M vs. South Carolina opposite sides · consensus South Carolina | — | — | Texas A&M $2.5K | South Carolina $22K |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | — | Alabama $4.2K | LSU $39 |
| Spread: Delaware (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Delaware | — | — | Delaware $2.1K | Kennesaw State $1.6K |
| Penn State vs. Washington: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.5K | Over $405 |
| Oregon vs. Ohio State: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.4K | Under $4.2K |