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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026joseph00677l3t0
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)43% (10–13, n=23)52% (50–46, n=96)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$3.3M$44K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #8PM monthly #678
Sides with the consensus83% (40 of 48 open)65% (26 of 40 open)no open consensus position70% (14 of 20 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%53% of 89 at avg 47¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)29% (won 31% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)25% (won 36% of 22)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)25% (won 64% of 22)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)21% (won 89% of 19)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026joseph00677l3t0
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $294KTexans $57K——
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $143KPatriots $10K——
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $100KTexans $43K——
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Packers
Packers $104KPatriots $10K——
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $15KUnder $11K——
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $124KSeahawks $29K——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $103KBulls $9.0K——
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $74K——Yes $2.6K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3.9KChargers $5——