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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026joseph00677Shady-Tool
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)43% (10–13, n=23)83% (397–80, n=477)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$3.3M-$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #8PM monthly #435
Sides with the consensus86% (37 of 43 open)74% (28 of 38 open)no open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———Soccer −17 pts, n=18
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%86% of 431 at avg 85¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)4% (won 22% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)7% (won 55% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)4% (won 56% of 18)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)85% (won 93% of 366)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026joseph00677Shady-Tool
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $294KTexans $55K——
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $143KPatriots $10K——
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $100KTexans $36K——
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $14KUnder $11K——
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $124KSeahawks $29K——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $103KBulls $9.8K——
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3.9KChargers $26——