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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026joseph00677Robbb
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)43% (10–13, n=23)83% (2411–480, n=2891)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$3.3M$95K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #8was PM monthly #996
Sides with the consensus86% (37 of 43 open)73% (36 of 49 open)no open consensus position80% (85 of 106 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———College Football −23 pts, n=36
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%83% of 1863 at avg 78¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 10% of 139)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 34% of 116)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)12% (won 68% of 220)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)75% (won 96% of 1388)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026joseph00677Robbb
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $294KTexans $50K——
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $143KPatriots $10K——
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $100KTexans $41K——
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $14KUnder $8.2K——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $423K——No $463
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $304K——Yes $1.0K
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $124KSeahawks $29K——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $103KBulls $9.8K——
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $74K——Yes $2.0K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3.9KChargers $33——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4K——No $173