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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)36% (3741–6739, n=10480)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)75% (1830–603, n=2433)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.2M$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #87PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #108
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)61% (17 of 28 open)58% (53 of 91 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1S-Works
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $23KUnder $905—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $20KUnder $1—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $1.7K—
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 1. FSV Mainz 05
—FC Bayern München $1881. FSV Mainz 05 $48—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $12KUnder $2.6K—
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Magda Linette $6.5KMagda Linette $3.7K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $44Bianca Andreescu $8.4K—
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.7KUnder $79—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KOver $360—
Taranto: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Kilian Feldbausch
same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
—Carlo Alberto Caniato $834Carlo Alberto Caniato $5—
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $246Under $14—