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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026HBAFlover98joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)39% (243–373, n=616)43% (10–13, n=23)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M-$250K$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87was PM monthly #838PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus71% (42 of 59 open)59% (52 of 88 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——Esports −9 pts, n=99—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—39% of 550 at avg 39¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—30% (won 14% of 164)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—41% (won 42% of 227)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—21% (won 59% of 118)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—7% (won 71% of 41)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026HBAFlover98joseph00677
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $208KOver $19K——
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179KCowboys $6.9K——
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $68KEagles $53——
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $45KCowboys $20K——
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $21KJets $8.2K——
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $13KCommanders $15K——
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $37KGiants $8.0K——
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24KColts $8.8K——
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18KChiefs $248——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $2.5KBulls $11K——