Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorptugator
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)13% (33–224, n=257)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$1.9M$87K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #642
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)67% (6 of 9 open)73% (90 of 124 open)90% (84 of 93 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Crypto −34 pts, n=190
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%28% of 228 at avg 56¢, ROI −28%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)4% (won 0% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)74% (won 11% of 168)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)5% (won 36% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorptugator
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $2.7K—
Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
opposite sides · consensus Joel Schwaerzler
—Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong $12Joel Schwaerzler $2.3K—
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter
—Alafia Ayeni $105Edward Winter $459—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $19KJanice Tjen $5.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
USC Trojans vs. Wichita State Shockers
same side · consensus USC Trojans
—USC Trojans $1.0KUSC Trojans $3.4K—
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
—Keisuke Saitoh $38Keisuke Saitoh $1.6K—