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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpHomelessnHoeless
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)51% (136–129, n=265)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$1.9M-$138K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14was PM monthly #597
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)70% (7 of 10 open)72% (89 of 124 open)77% (17 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Esports −1 pts, n=240
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%52% of 258 at avg 54¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 17% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)34% (won 40% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)47% (won 57% of 120)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)15% (won 76% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpHomelessnHoeless
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $2.7K—
Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
opposite sides · consensus Joel Schwaerzler
—Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong $12Joel Schwaerzler $2.3K—
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter
—Alafia Ayeni $89Edward Winter $1.8K—
Matsuyama: Keegan Smith vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
opposite sides · consensus Yu-Hsiou Hsu
—Yu-Hsiou Hsu $299Keegan Smith $185—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
USC Trojans vs. Wichita State Shockers
same side · consensus USC Trojans
—USC Trojans $970USC Trojans $3.7K—
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
—Keisuke Saitoh $38Keisuke Saitoh $1.6K—