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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | esticamos | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (555–663, n=1218) | 54% (144–121, n=265) | 50% (15050–15076, n=30126) | 47% (13355–14864, n=28219) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $16K | $3.0M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #980 | PM monthly #57 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (21 of 32 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (90 of 149 open) | 55% (21 of 38 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Tennis −1 pts, n=130 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 68% of 239 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 19% (won 18% of 45) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 9% (won 52% of 21) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 14% (won 59% of 34) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 58% (won 89% of 139) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | esticamos | omnibus-076daa | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $12K | — | Yes $2.2K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.6K | Over $943 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $839 | — | Yes $149 | — |
| Will Buriram United win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $281 | Yes $542 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $68 | No $663 |
| M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright opposite sides · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner | — | — | Michael Wright $3 | Jeremy Gschwendtner $150 |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich same side · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich | — | — | Talia Gibson $1.1K | Talia Gibson $26K |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | Yes $117 | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $14K | — | Yes $1.4K | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | Yes $215 | — |
| Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $12K | No $207 |
| Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen same side · consensus Otto Virtanen | — | — | Otto Virtanen $3 | Otto Virtanen $10K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari same side · consensus Maya Joint | — | — | Maya Joint $3.2K | Maya Joint $1.4K |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.6K | — | Yes $69 | — |
| W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst same side · consensus Deborah Chiesa | — | — | Deborah Chiesa $18 | Deborah Chiesa $1.2K |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $59 | — |
| Buriram United leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $28 | Yes $52 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $28 | — | Yes $41 | — |