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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | dips. | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | no settled market | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 54% (208–178, n=386) |
| Consensus PnL | $822K | — | $421K | $230K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #605 | PM monthly #43 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (8 of 16 open) | 63% (12 of 19 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 66% (111 of 168 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | — | 100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | — | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | — | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | — | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | — | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | dips. | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Nets $260K | — | — | Pelicans $3.9K |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $90K | — | — | Nuggets $5.1K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $10K | — | — | Nuggets $22K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $682 | — | — | Thunder $4.2K |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $81 | — | Bucks $1.6K |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $66 | — | Spurs $341 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $2 | — | — | Nuggets $37 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $166K | — | — | Spurs $9.3K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $5.4K | — | Lakers $14K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $831 | — | — | Nets $5.2K |
| Spread: Oilers (-1.5) same side · consensus Flyers | — | Flyers $14 | — | Flyers $2.4K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $279 | — | — | Grizzlies $764 |