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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | dips. | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (22–16, n=38) | 67% (292–141, n=433) | 55% (216–179, n=395) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $837K | -$54K | $290K | $152K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #605 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #31 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (9 of 16 open) | 68% (45 of 66 open) | 65% (112 of 172 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −5 pts, n=11 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 73% of 146 at avg 63¢, ROI +8% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI +59% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 22% (won 16% of 32) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 11% (won 56% of 16) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 100% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 12% (won 76% of 17) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 55% (won 99% of 81) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | dips. | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Bulls opposite sides · consensus Spurs | Spurs $188K | Bulls $630 | Spurs $11K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $468 | Nuggets $55 | Grizzlies $1.3K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $126K | — | Nuggets $5.0K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $28K | — | Thunder $4.6K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $12K | — | Nuggets $21K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $676 | — | Thunder $4.3K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $133 | — | Thunder $3.7K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $88 | Bucks $984 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $53 | Spurs $228 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $2 | — | Nuggets $49 | — |
| Valparaiso Beacons vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 142.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3 | Under $30 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Lakers $3.3K | — | Lakers $20K | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $5.4K | Lakers $13K | — |
| Spread: Oilers (-1.5) same side · consensus Flyers | — | Flyers $15 | Flyers $2.6K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | — | Nuggets $35 | Nuggets $141 | — |