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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankbroskyeferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)45% (163–203, n=366)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$5.6K-$9.5M$1.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #480was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)55% (6 of 11 open)70% (7 of 10 open)73% (91 of 125 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Elections −2 pts, n=127—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%27% of 198 at avg 30¢, ROI +8%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)63% (won 2% of 125)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)9% (won 53% of 17)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)9% (won 44% of 18)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)19% (won 89% of 38)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankbroskyeferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $148Yes $2.7K
Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
opposite sides · consensus Joel Schwaerzler
——Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong $12Joel Schwaerzler $2.3K
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter
——Alafia Ayeni $85Edward Winter $537
Matsuyama: Keegan Smith vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
opposite sides · consensus Yu-Hsiou Hsu
——Yu-Hsiou Hsu $320Keegan Smith $35
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
——Janice Tjen $20KJanice Tjen $5.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $13K
USC Trojans vs. Wichita State Shockers
same side · consensus USC Trojans
——USC Trojans $1.1KUSC Trojans $3.7K
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
——Keisuke Saitoh $38Keisuke Saitoh $1.6K