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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankPan9XprimmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (581–722, n=1303)65% (4350–2303, n=6653)50% (1127–1147, n=2274)50% (20622–20404, n=41026)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$23K$3.6M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #979PM monthly #51PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)45% (41 of 91 open)70% (14 of 20 open)70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 1212 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 100% of 43)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)13% (won 100% of 156)41% (won 99% of 418)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)26% (won 100% of 310)49% (won 99% of 504)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)58% (won 100% of 703)5% (won 100% of 47)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankPan9XprimmUpTheBlues
Spread: Arizona (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
—Arizona $142TCU $8.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $52—Under $7.6K
TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $423Over $7.1K—
Spread: TCU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—TCU $34Arizona $5.9K—
Spread: TCU (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—TCU $7Arizona $5.8K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $67—No $3.1K
Spread: Arizona (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
—Arizona $78TCU $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $81—No $2.7K
Spread: TCU (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—TCU $46Arizona $2.3K—
Spread: Arizona (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
—Arizona $73TCU $1.7K—
Spread: Arizona (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
—Arizona $40TCU $1.6K—
Spread: Arizona (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $143TCU $1.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $154—Under $595
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $13—Under $378
Spread: TCU (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
—TCU $18Arizona $133—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $30—Yes $71
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $52—Under $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $247—No $15K
Spread: Arizona (-13.5)
same side · consensus TCU
—TCU $100TCU $9.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $85—Under $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $105—Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2—Under $1.4K
Spread: Arizona (-10.5)
same side · consensus TCU
—TCU $45TCU $1.2K—
Spread: TCU (-2.5)
same side · consensus TCU
—Arizona $88Arizona $1.0K—
Spread: Arizona (-3.5)
same side · consensus TCU
—TCU $96TCU $864—
Spread: Arizona (-8.5)
same side · consensus Arizona
—TCU $64TCU $834—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Athletic Club $116—Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $60—Under $64