Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Club Santos Laguna leading at halftime?
Resolved No. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
No 89%
1 arb excluded
$685.02
$283.1
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VE Venusian | Noavg 63.3¢ | $118.38 | $227.01 | +$108.63 | 49% 1790-1872 (3662) |
LU LuckyLoo | Noavg 48¢ | $51.82 | $136.2 | +$84.38 | 49% 14964-15854 (30818) |
 RN1 | Noavg 62¢ | $69.51 | $112.11 | +$42.6 | 53% 62226-54444 (116670) |
LI LimousinARB<$100 | Yesavg 34.1¢ | $100.14 | $57.11 | -$43.03 | 50% 1808-1796 (3604) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 61.2¢ | $34.95 | $57.11 | +$22.16 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 34.1¢ | $65.19 | — | -$65.19 | |
SL SlickRick123<$100 | Noavg 40¢ | $27.2 | $68 | +$40.8 | 48% 5530-6043 (11573) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Noavg 66.1¢ | $22.22 | $33.6 | +$11.38 | 50% 21519-21799 (43318) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Noavg 75¢ | $22.49 | $30 | +$7.51 | 49% 1756-1850 (3606) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | $12.56 | $10 | -$2.56 | 48% 1730-1861 (3591) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Noavg 42¢ | $4.62 | $11 | +$6.38 | 47% 9510-10646 (20156) |
 dips.CTR<$100 | Yesavg 47.1¢ | $15.97 | — | -$15.97 | 47% 10970-12572 (23542) |
SH shiifooCTR<$100 | Yesavg 71¢ | $0.04 | — | -$0.04 | 47% 4115-4662 (8777) |
 LonnieHawkinssCTR<$100 | Yesavg 56.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 2178-1930 (4108) |
Invested
$118.38
Value
$227.01
PnL
+$108.63
Record
49%
1790-1872 (3662)
Invested
$51.82
Value
$136.2
PnL
+$84.38
Record
49%
14964-15854 (30818)
RN1Invested
$69.51
Value
$112.11
PnL
+$42.6
Record
53%
62226-54444 (116670)
Invested
$100.14
Value
$57.11
PnL
-$43.03
Record
50%
1808-1796 (3604)
Both legs:
Invested
$27.2
Value
$68
PnL
+$40.8
Record
48%
5530-6043 (11573)
Invested
$22.22
Value
$33.6
PnL
+$11.38
Record
50%
21519-21799 (43318)
Invested
$22.49
Value
$30
PnL
+$7.51
Record
49%
1756-1850 (3606)
Invested
$12.56
Value
$10
PnL
-$2.56
Record
48%
1730-1861 (3591)
Invested
$4.62
Value
$11
PnL
+$6.38
Record
47%
9510-10646 (20156)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$15.97
Value
—
PnL
-$15.97
Record
47%
10970-12572 (23542)
Invested
$0.04
Value
—
PnL
-$0.04
Record
47%
4115-4662 (8777)
LonnieHawkinssCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
2178-1930 (4108)