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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | MadridTime | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4535–3309, n=7844) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 47% (1123–1262, n=2385) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.0M | $7.9M | -$28K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (14 of 22 open) | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) | 52% (17 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 100% of 26) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 17% (won 100% of 85) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 19% (won 100% of 94) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 59% (won 100% of 296) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | MadridTime | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $267 | Warriors $3.5K | — | Warriors $510 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $50K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $68K | — | — |
| Heat vs. Warriors same side · consensus Warriors | Warriors $28K | Warriors $821 | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) same side · consensus Warriors | Warriors $1.2K | — | — | Warriors $108 |