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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677MadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (10–9, n=19)49% (855–893, n=1748)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$5.6M$10K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #3PM monthly #667PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (15 of 27 open)no open consensus position51% (22 of 43 open)56% (116 of 209 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 100% of 26)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)17% (won 100% of 85)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)19% (won 100% of 94)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)59% (won 100% of 296)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677MadridTimeRN1
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $30K——Pelicans $125
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $19K——Pelicans $135
Spread: Ball State (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
——Ball State $2UMass $1.1K
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $230Central Michigan $815
Spread: Toledo (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Sacramento State $17Toledo $935
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $467Over $206
Spread: Toledo (-23.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Sacramento State $219Toledo $429
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $323——Pelicans $143
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $3No $4.0K
Will Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $703Yes $26
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $357——Grizzlies $123
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $11Under $288
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $58Under $129
Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $3Over $1