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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Nevada — but New Mexico won instead.
Spread: New Mexico (-20.5)
Resolved New Mexico. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Nevada. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
14
Nevada 50%
Total Value
$5.3K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Nevada
7 of 14 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
New Mexico100%
Nevada0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3aefbcab...0beeae
Slug
cfb-nmx-nevada-2026-11-06-spread-away-20pt5