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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankMadridTimeprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–665, n=1225)50% (789–776, n=1565)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$11.2M-$5.0K$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #789PM monthly #48PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)58% (48 of 83 open)no open consensus position66% (114 of 173 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • NBA +48 pts n=72, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=258, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +20 pts n=18, ROI +25%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)5% (won 100% of 20)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)17% (won 100% of 63)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)23% (won 100% of 83)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)55% (won 100% of 201)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankMadridTimeprimmRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Maya Joint
—Maria Sakkari $2.9K—Maya Joint $13K
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
—Sarah Van Emst $4—Deborah Chiesa $1.2K
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
—Alexander Zverev $728—Alexander Zverev $30K
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $46—Under $4.2K
Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Martyna Kubka
same side · consensus Martyna Kubka
—Martyna Kubka $1.7K—Martyna Kubka $2.4K
Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Gina Feistel
same side · consensus Gina Feistel
—Gina Feistel $2.6K—Gina Feistel $1.1K
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Robin Montgomery
—Jeline Vandromme $1.1K—Jeline Vandromme $679
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $137—Under $1.5K
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $76—No $1.1K
Kashima Antlers leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $10—No $210