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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmstrider-
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)88% (72–10, n=82)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$3.6M$45K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #16PM monthly #52PM monthly #797
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)67% (192 of 288 open)73% (11 of 15 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Geopolitics −1 pts, n=28
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%83% of 81 at avg 74¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)15% (won 25% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)7% (won 50% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)11% (won 78% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)67% (won 100% of 54)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmstrider-
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $204KPistons $2.2K——
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $8.6KCeltics $215——
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
same side · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $333Eastern Michigan $2.0K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $954Pistons $1.3K——
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $277Jazz $4——
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $66Hawks $193——