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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | lastminwin | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6608–6142, n=12750) | 56% (14–11, n=25) | 47% (14228–15728, n=29956) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $268K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #94 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 74% (83 of 112 open) | 70% (40 of 57 open) | 48% (10 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 73% of 15 at avg 46¢, ROI +39% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 33% (won 20% of 5) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 27% (won 100% of 4) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | lastminwin | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $78K | — | No $14K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz | — | Diletta Cherubini $282 | — | Ipek Oz $680 |
| Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Muller same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki | — | Yosuke Watanuki $3.9K | — | Yosuke Watanuki $15K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $139 | — | Yes $192 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $176 | — | Under $42 |