Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)60% (6752–4549, n=11301)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.7M$58K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #520
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)66% (188 of 283 open)66% (29 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%98% of 2377 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)7% (won 90% of 155)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)20% (won 96% of 481)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)34% (won 98% of 816)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)39% (won 100% of 925)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $6
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.2KUnder $38
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $10
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $186Over $34
D.C. United SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4Under $11
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.0KUnder $31
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $489No $8
Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $325Under $35