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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6451–6050, n=12501)63% (992–576, n=1568)60% (6575–4447, n=11022)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$4.8M$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #96PM monthly #542
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)72% (119 of 166 open)69% (52 of 75 open)57% (27 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%98% of 2346 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)6% (won 90% of 152)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)20% (won 96% of 477)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)34% (won 98% of 806)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)39% (won 100% of 911)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $6
FK Polissia vs. RNK Veres Rivne: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $737—Under $93
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354—Over $10
M25 Valencia: Iliyan Radulov vs Ignacio Parisca
opposite sides · consensus Iliyan Radulov
—Iliyan Radulov $82—Ignacio Parisca $162
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K—No $337K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $494—No $8