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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)55% (13298–10666, n=23964)43% (10–13, n=23)60% (7274–4810, n=12084)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$1.4M$3.2M$57K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #513
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)70% (93 of 133 open)no open consensus position74% (39 of 53 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%98% of 2377 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 90% of 155)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 96% of 481)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)34% (won 98% of 816)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)39% (won 100% of 925)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $6
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.7K—No $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $7