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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | vtcchampion52 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) | 46% (270–315, n=585) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $14.8M | $12K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | was PM monthly #287 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 70% (311 of 446 open) | 60% (235 of 393 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 46% of 540 at avg 44¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 41% (won 3% of 223) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 17% (won 34% of 91) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 13% (won 78% of 72) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 29% (won 99% of 154) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
69 on the same side, 72 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | vtcchampion52 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $19K | Pelicans $742 | Pelicans $135 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $880 | Celtics $1.3K | Bucks $765 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $357 | Pacers $326 | Grizzlies $123 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $323 | Jazz $272 | Pelicans $143 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $218K | Pacers $3.9K | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $30K | — | Pelicans $125 | — |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $25K | Over $3.6K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $14K | Bucks $2.1K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K | — |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $370 | No $13K | — |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $60 | Central Michigan $12K | — |
| Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $11K | Over $247 | — |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 2 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.1K | No $9.1K | — |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $8.9K | Over $583 | — |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | No $8.0K | — |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 3 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $79 | No $6.0K | — |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $83 | No $4.6K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Bucks $3.8K | Celtics $485 | — |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.1K | Over $92 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K | — |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 3 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $8 | No $3.0K | — |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt opposite sides · consensus Max Wiskandt | — | Hiroki Sakagawa $1.2K | Max Wiskandt $1.7K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $301 | No $2.4K | — |
| Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2.3K | No $343 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $35 | — |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 1 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.4K | Yes $103 | — |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.3K | No $63 | — |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.3K | Yes $10 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | — | Bucks $2.2K | Celtics $3 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $274 | Under $1.7K | — |
| M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon | — | Maxwell McKennon $849 | Mauricio Echazu $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-19.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | Wizards $1.9K | Hawks $5 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $1.6K | Bucks $57 | — |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 3 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $80 | No $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-28.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Bulls $1.5K | Knicks $158 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Over $23 | — |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $196 | No $1.4K | — |
| Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.5K | No $4 | — |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $36 | No $1.5K | — |
| Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 0 FK Bodø/Glimt? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $83 | No $1.4K | — |
| Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Over $23 | — |
| Will Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | Yes $3 | — |
| Spread: Sabres (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Sabres | — | Senators $66 | Sabres $1.3K | — |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Over $138 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | Yes $7 | — |
| Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.0K | Over $12 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $988 | Bulls $47 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | No $529 | — |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $372 | Under $394 | — |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $753 | Under $8 | — |