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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1ThereAreLevels
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6451–6050, n=12501)48% (14167–15640, n=29807)37% (18–31, n=49)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #31 + pinnedwas PM monthly #999
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)72% (120 of 166 open)61% (22 of 36 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%61% of 31 at avg 61¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)13% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)13% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)32% (won 70% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)42% (won 77% of 13)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1ThereAreLevels
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6K—
Will Madura United win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $3.0KYes $6.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354Over $3.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $291Ipek Oz $685—
Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $47No $627—
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $107Under $492—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $82Justina Mikulskyte $3—
Luanda: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Gina Feistel
same side · consensus Gina Feistel
—Gina Feistel $13KGina Feistel $16K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
same side · consensus Robin Montgomery
—Robin Montgomery $3.2KRobin Montgomery $407—
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.0KUnder $478—
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.9KUnder $453—
Will Madura United vs. Arema FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $458—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $54—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $239Over $241—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42—
Madura United vs. Arema FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $54Under $5—