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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpQuantDeLaFugazi
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (670–363, n=1033)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$107K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #16Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus59% (16 of 27 open)64% (163 of 255 open)75% (12 of 16 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%58% of 1428 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)26% (won 21% of 369)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)23% (won 45% of 324)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)23% (won 71% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)29% (won 92% of 407)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpQuantDeLaFugazi
Jazz vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $68KPelicans $36—
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $204KPistons $2.8K—
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $30KJazz $4—
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $8.7KCeltics $215—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $954Pistons $1.3K—
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $66Hawks $193—