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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | PT-S7 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6524–6030, n=12554) | 90% (389–42, n=431) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.5M | -$76K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #891 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (23 of 28 open) | 71% (195 of 276 open) | 65% (15 of 23 open) | 61% (68 of 112 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 100% of 186 at avg 77¢, ROI +18% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 4% (won 100% of 7) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 19% (won 100% of 35) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 76% (won 100% of 142) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
44 on the same side, 41 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | PT-S7 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NK Celje win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.5K | Yes $84 | Yes $437 |
| Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $421 | No $7 | Yes $14 |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $47K | No $36 | No $20K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $30K | Yes $173 | Yes $14K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $8.6K | — | Under $5 |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $7.6K | Yes $2 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud | — | Casper Ruud $4.6K | Jan-Lennard Struff $23 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K |
| MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.4K | — | Under $1.8K |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $285 | — | No $2.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA | — | SC União Torreense $229 | — | Ararat-Armenia FA $2.1K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.2K | — | No $19 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | — | Yes $582 |
| Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.7K | Yes $46 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: FC København (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus SK Iberia 1999 | — | FC København $851 | — | SK Iberia 1999 $862 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | — | Yes $134 |
| Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | — | Yes $61 |
| Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia | — | PFK CSKA Sofia $1.4K | — | Panathinaikós AO $4 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $187 | No $1.1K |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.1K | — | Under $210 |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $6 | No $1.2K |
| Will Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $885 | No $247 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $803 | Yes $93 | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $673 | — | Yes $126 |
| Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $275 | No $177 | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller | — | Elmer Moeller $387 | — | Joao Lucas Da Silva $32 |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $64 | No $289 |
| FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $114 | — | Under $234 |
| Will FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $327 | — | Yes $9 |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | — | Julio Cesar Porras $60 | — | Ivan Gakhov $238 |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $108 | — | Warriors $130 |
| Will Getafe CF vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $168 | No $41 | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $27 | — | No $132 |
| W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek | — | Anna Siskova $60 | — | Isis Louise Van den Broek $88 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $11 | — | Yes $124 |
| Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $23 | No $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | — | Over $29 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $49K | — | No $27K |
| Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $39K | Yes $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań | — | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $20K | — | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $8.6K | — | Under $11K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $11K | — | Under $4.7K |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $4.0K | — | Under $8.8K |