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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpMatheobongRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)no settled market48% (14148–15609, n=29757)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.6M—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #257PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)75% (200 of 265 open)no open consensus position56% (49 of 88 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%83% of 6 at avg 50¢, ROI +36%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)0%10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)50% (won 100% of 3)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 67% of 3)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)0%33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpMatheobongRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $5.7K—Taylor Fritz $2.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.8K—Yes $463
HUS Agadir vs. RS Berkane: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.7K—Over $777
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Genaro Alberto Olivieri $1.8K—Juan Bautista Torres $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
LKP Motor Lublin vs. Wisla Plock: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Over $787
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1.3K—Juan Carlos Prado $268
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $110—Over $1.2K
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $995—Under $73
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $529
FC Argeș Pitești vs. Dinamo 1948: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $140—Under $473
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $510—Under $86
Will LKP Motor Lublin vs. Wisla Plock end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $243—No $348
Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $122—No $458
Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionov
opposite sides · consensus Jurij Rodionov
—Jurij Rodionov $40—Kimmer Coppejans $419
Will FC Viktoria Cologne win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $414—No $5
Spread: FC Energie Cottbus (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eintracht Braunschweig
—Eintracht Braunschweig $326—FC Energie Cottbus $21
Will FC Argeș Pitești win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $291—Yes $19
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—76ers $188—Cavaliers $108
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31—No $12
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $13K—No $13K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $7.8K—Yes $6.3K
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.9K—Yes $10K
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $6.5K
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.0K—Yes $4.1K
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.2K—No $4.2K
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $2.1K
Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3.3K—Over $1.8K
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.2K—Under $133
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.2K—No $20
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $726—Over $1.1K
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Under $444
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $942—No $814
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $383—Over $1.2K
Spread: SG Dynamo Dresden (-3.5)
same side · consensus SG Dynamo Dresden
—SG Dynamo Dresden $1.6K—SG Dynamo Dresden $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $104—Under $1.1K
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Julia Riera $64—Julia Riera $1.1K
Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $754—Yes $303
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $537—No $172
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $543—No $163
SK Rapid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $593—Yes $11
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $366—Under $196