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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Hawk.live | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 55% (293–239, n=532) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $19K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #971 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 69% (250 of 364 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Esports ±0 pts, n=514 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 56% of 520 at avg 56¢, ROI −3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 23% (won 4% of 121) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 15% (won 28% of 79) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 25% (won 68% of 128) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 37% (won 92% of 192) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Hawk.live |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $330K | Pacers $4.2K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $29K | Pelicans $646 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $17K | Pelicans $870 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $8.6K | Bucks $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $343 | Pacers $379 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $283 | Pelicans $71 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $195K | Pistons $4.2K | — |
| Hawks vs. Wizards same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $2.8K | Hawks $15K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $944 | Pistons $301 | — |