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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Hawk.live | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6493–6083, n=12576) | 55% (297–240, n=537) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $3.7M | $23K | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #657 | PM monthly #95 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 67% (204 of 304 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (55 of 78 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Esports ±0 pts, n=518 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 56% of 524 at avg 56¢, ROI −3% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 23% (won 4% of 122) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 15% (won 27% of 78) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 25% (won 68% of 130) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 37% (won 92% of 194) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Hawk.live | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | — | No $335K |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $403 | Lakers $7.1K | — | — |