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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpForaPT26RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6451–6050, n=12501)14% (1–6, n=7)48% (14167–15640, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$13K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10was PM monthly #987PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)73% (111 of 153 open)no open consensus position55% (16 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%50% of 2 at avg 36¢, ROI +35%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)50% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)50% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)0%35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)0%33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpForaPT26RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354—Over $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $291—Ipek Oz $685
Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $41—No $627
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $53—Under $492
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $82—Justina Mikulskyte $3
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Martyna Kubka
same side · consensus Sofya Lansere
—Sofya Lansere $1.1K—Sofya Lansere $9.8K
Luanda: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Gina Feistel
same side · consensus Gina Feistel
—Gina Feistel $3.3K—Gina Feistel $6.8K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $708—Under $478
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $57—Over $241
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
Madura United vs. Arema FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $121—Under $5