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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Ethanael02 | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 65% (119–63, n=182) | 44% (11392–14477, n=25869) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $12K | -$8.8M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #509 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #111 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (37 of 43 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (29 of 40 open) | 71% (70 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 101 at avg 74¢, ROI +20% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 0% | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 7% (won 86% of 7) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 35% (won 91% of 35) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 58% (won 97% of 59) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Ethanael02 | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Texans | Chargers $294K | — | Texans $47K | — |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Packers $143K | — | Patriots $10K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $100K | — | Texans $27K | — |
| Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $14K | — | Under $9.4K | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $423K | — | — | No $346K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $304K | — | — | Yes $12K |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $124K | — | Seahawks $29K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $103K | — | Bulls $9.8K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) same side · consensus Chargers | Chargers $3.9K | — | Chargers $63 | — |