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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BikesAreTheBikesBreakTheBanke46m3keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market96% (291–13, n=304)17% (155–754, n=909)42% (44–60, n=104)
Consensus PnL—$8.4M$536K$117K
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #39
Sides with the consensus54% (56 of 103 open)79% (31 of 39 open)73% (313 of 427 open)58% (19 of 33 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——Tech ±0 pts, n=36—
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%—
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)7% (won 11% of 46)—
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)1% (won 86% of 7)—
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)1% (won 75% of 8)—
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)90% (won 100% of 565)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBikesAreTheBikesBreakTheBanke46m3keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $425KYes $11—
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $28KYes $108—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.4KYes $318—
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.4K—Yes $5—
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $291—Yes $69—
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $28—Yes $22—
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1—No $27—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $108—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $27KYes $10—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $19KYes $369—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $13KYes $12—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.6KYes $512—
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $42—Bills $4.7K
Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
same side · consensus No
Yes $440—Yes $808—
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
Yes $667—Yes $5—
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $473—Yes $94—
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $200Yes $4—
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $126—Yes $72—
Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election?
same side · consensus No
Yes $141—Yes $32—
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $49Yes $40—
Will Zoran Stojiljković be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $19—
Will Eli Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2—Yes $12—
Will Aviv Kohavi be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2—Yes $10—
Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3—Yes $9—