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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AlphaBetaGamma2357 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (435–420, n=855) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 52% (6551–6119, n=12670) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $94K | $7.3M | $3.7M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #611 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #97 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 69% (229 of 330 open) | 71% (58 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | MLB −18 pts, n=23 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 840 at avg 49¢, ROI +4% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 16% of 141) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 39% of 339) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 59% of 203) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 87% of 157) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AlphaBetaGamma2357 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.6K | No $32K | — | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.9K | Under $30K |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $409K | — | No $337K |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $84K |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $595 | Under $6.6K |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Arsenal FC | — | — | Hull City AFC $2.5K | Hull City AFC $2.9K |