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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlanCurtisFlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)54% (208–178, n=386)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$22K$3.6M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #967PM monthly #10PM monthly #48PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (137 of 198 open)57% (8 of 14 open)54% (53 of 99 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won70% of 383 at avg 46¢, ROI 0%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 31% of 143)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 81% of 80)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 98% of 62)16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 100% of 98)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlanCurtisFlaznorpprimmRN1
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $78Florida Atlantic $24KFlorida Atlantic $15K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $20Southern Miss $47Southern Miss $353
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $348K—Under $649
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $21K—No $8.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.3K—Over $2.6K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3K—Over $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $2.2KSouthern Miss $434
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KOver $888
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $4Jaguars $2.4K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.8KOver $231
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $640Over $1.1K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $1.1KUTSA $242
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $409—Canucks $867
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $698Under $469
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $599Over $458
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $281—Ipek Oz $678
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $510Jaguars $180
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $47—Under $621
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $79—Warriors $520
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Magic $375—Suns $217
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Heat $428—Warriors $110
Will Cancun FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $473—Yes $20
Flyers vs. Rangers
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $361—Flyers $50
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $136—Over $83
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 0 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $131—Yes $33
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 1 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $114—Yes $40
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Suns $2—Magic $43
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $9.6K—Over $1.2K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.6K—Under $1.1K
Jaguars vs. Ravens
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $285—Jaguars $7.6K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.3K—Over $2.4K
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.6K—No $1.8K
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.7K—No $222
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $246—No $2.2K
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Under $657
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $261
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu
—Yuta Shimizu $24—Yuta Shimizu $340
Spread: Bruins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bruins
—Penguins $293—Penguins $52
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8—Under $326
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192