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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AMikeferrariChampions2026RN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)75% (12–4, n=16)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL-$2.9K$3.1M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #739was PM monthly #87PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #72
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)72% (13 of 18 open)67% (22 of 33 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won67% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +13%—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 0% of 4)—10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 80% of 5)—22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢0%—35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 6)—33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAMikeferrariChampions2026RN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.2KOver $1.7K—
Spread: Hawai'i (-7.5)
same side · consensus UTEP
—UTEP $50KUTEP $1.6K—
Wyoming vs. UNLV
same side · consensus Wyoming
—Wyoming $31KWyoming $19K—
Texas State vs. Oregon State
same side · consensus Texas State
—Texas State $17KTexas State $9.7K—
Spread: Hawai'i (-6.5)
same side · consensus UTEP
—UTEP $4.1KUTEP $15K—
Spread: Texas Tech (-15.5)
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $2.8KTexas Tech $317—
Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $21Under $2.4K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $159Falcons $1.6K—
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $434Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KOver $360—
Spread: Texas Tech (-16.5)
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $103Texas Tech $830—