← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 739633786 | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (431–542, n=973) | 43% (11778–15356, n=27134) | 55% (13369–10733, n=24102) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) |
| Consensus PnL | -$147K | -$9.5M | $1.4M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #830 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #109 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 67% (8 of 12 open) | 67% (91 of 136 open) | 70% (68 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | NFL −7 pts, n=158 |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 441 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 100% of 2) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 13% (won 14% of 196) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 53% (won 97% of 232) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 18% (won 40% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 47% (won 99% of 207) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 23% (won 58% of 348) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 46% (won 94% of 710) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 739633786 | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet opposite sides · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri | — | Ugo Blanchet $3 | Buvaysar Gadamauri $5.8K | — |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris | — | Liam Broady $2.0K | Billy Harris $1.7K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $141 | Yes $2.8K | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Cavaliers $2.0K | Hornets $156 | — |
| Counter-Strike: maybe vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Play-In opposite sides · consensus maybe | — | maybe $44 | MASONIC $4 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $12K | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert same side · consensus Ugo Humbert | — | Ugo Humbert $7.1K | Ugo Humbert $2.9K | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Cavaliers $468 | — | Cavaliers $182 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-9.5) same side · consensus Warriors | Warriors $78 | — | Warriors $491 | — |