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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026dfihdndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)36% (3741–6739, n=10480)50% (1–1, n=2)63% (1014–591, n=1605)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)
Consensus PnL$3.2M$42K$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #563PM monthly #93PM monthly #63
Sides with the consensus75% (47 of 63 open)no open consensus position72% (67 of 93 open)76% (16 of 21 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 1 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—0%13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—100% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢—0%23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026dfihdndb1primm
Iowa State vs. Baylor
opposite sides · consensus Baylor
Baylor $21K——Iowa State $16K
Texas A&M vs. South Carolina
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
South Carolina $5.4K——Texas A&M $23K
Georgia vs. Ole Miss
opposite sides · consensus Georgia
Ole Miss $23——Georgia $14K
Colorado vs. Arizona State: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $11K——Over $98
Arkansas vs. Auburn
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
Auburn $5.9K——Arkansas $3.5K
Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
Miami (FL) $4.2K——Notre Dame $55
Spread: Iowa (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern
Northwestern $181——Iowa $381
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
same side · consensus Notre Dame
Notre Dame $73K——Notre Dame $175K
Oregon vs. Ohio State: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.9K——Under $2.4K
Spread: Notre Dame (-7.5)
same side · consensus Notre Dame
Notre Dame $463——Notre Dame $230