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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (3743–96, n=3839) | 52% (6524–6030, n=12554) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | -$31K | $3.5M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #837 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (211 of 294 open) | 57% (85 of 148 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −6 pts, n=13 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 3462 at avg 97¢, ROI 0% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 0% of 7) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% (won 36% of 14) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 56% of 32) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 98% (won 99% of 3409) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
56 on the same side, 39 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $8.6K | Under $5 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille | — | Olympique de Marseille $6.1K | Bayer 04 Leverkusen $7 |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.0K | Over $2.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA | — | SC União Torreense $457 | Ararat-Armenia FA $2.6K |
| Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian opposite sides · consensus Federico Coria | — | Valerio Aboian $8 | Federico Coria $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.1K | No $159 |
| Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.3K | No $770 |
| Spread: FC København (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus SK Iberia 1999 | — | FC København $1.1K | SK Iberia 1999 $862 |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.3K | Under $535 |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.5K | Over $281 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | Yes $248 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia | — | PFK CSKA Sofia $1.6K | Panathinaikós AO $4 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | Yes $134 |
| Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | Yes $138 |
| Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano | — | FC Lugano $1.5K | FK Kauno Žalgiris $11 |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $645 | Over $675 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | No $529 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $673 | Yes $184 |
| M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez opposite sides · consensus Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | — | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez $551 | Jesse Flores $53 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $515 | No $59 |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $105 | Over $422 |
| Will FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $446 | Yes $9 |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $329 | Over $101 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller | — | Elmer Moeller $387 | Joao Lucas Da Silva $32 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $387 | Over $10 |
| FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $122 | Under $234 |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | — | Julio Cesar Porras $60 | Ivan Gakhov $238 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $12 | Yes $267 |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $108 | Warriors $130 |
| W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek | — | Anna Siskova $60 | Isis Louise Van den Broek $88 |
| Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $31 | Under $25 |
| W50 Huamantla: Victoria Rodriguez vs Maria Sholokhova opposite sides · consensus Maria Sholokhova | — | Maria Sholokhova $5 | Victoria Rodriguez $36 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | Over $29 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $49K | No $28K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $47K | No $20K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $33K | Yes $15K |
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań | — | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $20K | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $11K | Under $11K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $12K | No $2.2K |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | Under $8.4K |
| Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $8.4K | Under $2.8K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5.4K | Under $4.3K |
| Will FC København win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $5.9K | Yes $3.7K |