Consensus PnL $28K · win rate 98% (3448–88, n=3536) · PM monthly #883 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$27.9K
Record
3448W / 88L
Win Rate
98.0%
of 3536 settled
Batting Avg
65.5%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#116
Source
PM monthly #883
Record (90 d)
2332/2380 · 98%
Trades
2,061
Markets
3,706
Volume
$28.8M
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Specialties
3,488 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 97¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: College Basketball — held side won 92% of 13 at an average 99¢ entry (−6 pts against the price), ROI −15%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%(won 0% of 7)
- 30–50¢: 0%(won 36% of 14)
- 50–70¢: 1%(won 53% of 32)
- 70¢ and up: 98%(won 99% of 3435)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.