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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xAD96914D7762DAC84EbBABAfE366AE8ff24Dd49BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)91% (88–9, n=97)45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)
Consensus PnL$174K$7.9M$3.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #701PM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus100% (6 of 6 open)78% (28 of 36 open)72% (98 of 136 open)53% (9 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won94% of 96 at avg 91¢, ROI +2%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 20% of 5)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 100% of 2)35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 100% of 2)35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up91% (won 98% of 87)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xAD96914D7762DAC84EbBABAfE366AE8ff24Dd49BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $265KJaguars $305—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Warriors $3.5KHeat $1.4K—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $143Florida Atlantic $41K
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $1.3K—Ravens $560
Heat vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $821Warriors $309—
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $821—Over $33
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
——Southern Miss $67Southern Miss $32