Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb50dF121BreakTheBankFlaznorpS-Works
Record (consensus markets)88% (107–14, n=121)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$104K$7.7M$4.1M$3.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #309PM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus67% (8 of 12 open)88% (30 of 34 open)69% (99 of 144 open)80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won83% of 102 at avg 73¢, ROI +10%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 33% of 21)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 75% of 4)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 100% of 6)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up70% (won 97% of 71)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb50dF121BreakTheBankFlaznorpS-Works
Wycombe Wanderers FC vs. Huddersfield Town AFC: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $19K—No $6—
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Forest Green Rovers FC
Woking FC $119—Forest Green Rovers FC $2.1K—
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $222—No $670—
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $538—No $97—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21K—Yes $996—
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5.0K—Yes $2—