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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x7d3b7ff761d046f5dc1d972e8a755dc1eccf55b8 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (100–33, n=133) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 50% (1248–1260, n=2508) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) |
| Consensus PnL | $23K | $4.6M | $3.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #846 | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 58% (7 of 12 open) | 59% (55 of 93 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 76% of 123 at avg 73¢, ROI +10% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 50% of 2) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 58% of 52) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 91% of 69) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x7d3b7ff761d046f5dc1d972e8a755dc1eccf55b8 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $6.1K | Seahawks $4.3K |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.5K | Over $2.3K |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | — | Cardinals $5.7K | Seahawks $982 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $1.8K | Seahawks $2.2K |
| Packers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $803 | Over $1.9K |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $201 | Seahawks $2.1K |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | — | — | Packers $70K | Packers $3.6K |
| Texans vs. Chargers same side · consensus Chargers | — | — | Texans $1.4K | Texans $9.3K |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) same side · consensus Chargers | — | — | Texans $3 | Texans $1.5K |