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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7d3b7ff761d046f5dc1d972e8a755dc1eccf55b8BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)75% (100–33, n=133)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)
Consensus PnL$23K$7.7M$4.1M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #849PM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position86% (37 of 43 open)70% (88 of 126 open)55% (6 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won76% of 123 at avg 73¢, ROI +10%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 50% of 2)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 58% of 52)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 91% of 69)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7d3b7ff761d046f5dc1d972e8a755dc1eccf55b8BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $100K—Texans $6.9K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $103K76ers $933—
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $14K—Under $1.3K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $3.9K—Texans $2.0K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $28776ers $707—
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
—Packers $104K—Packers $76K