Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6Ccbd48BC12227b952b22f76405dF86De10Ca4BE-1779887420415fantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (15–11, n=26)71% (2084–849, n=2933)54% (448–384, n=832)
Consensus PnL$0$645K$384K$332K
Tracked asPM monthly #989PM monthly #34PM monthly #13PM monthly #9
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)55% (94 of 170 open)70% (81 of 115 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Soccer ±0 pts, n=381—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 14 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 68)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 100% of 5)11% (won 64% of 103)60% (won 100% of 127)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6Ccbd48BC12227b952b22f76405dF86De10Ca4BE-1779887420415fantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $14Under $986
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
——Duke $356Miami (FL) $48
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $5.2KPelicans $7.7K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $388Heat $1.1K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $174Falcons $1.2K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
——Texas Tech $26Texas Tech $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $1.1K