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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankbtnaFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (549–663, n=1212)71% (42–17, n=59)53% (5890–5273, n=11163)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$12K$3.3M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #552PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (26 of 39 open)25% (2 of 8 open)68% (123 of 180 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%67% of 42 at avg 53¢, ROI +14%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)26% (won 36% of 11)29% (won 11% of 423)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)14% (won 67% of 6)16% (won 40% of 243)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)33% (won 64% of 14)17% (won 62% of 255)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)26% (won 100% of 11)38% (won 94% of 561)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankbtnaFlaznorp
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $22KNo $3.0K
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $16KNo $4.4K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $12KNo $8.1K
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $12KNo $1.2K
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $4.7KNo $6.4K
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $4.2KNo $2.5K
Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $3.2KNo $111