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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188binaklHomeRunHazardVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)51% (44–42, n=86)52% (591–550, n=1141)90% (18–2, n=20)
Consensus PnL$841K$26K$385K$530K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #863PM monthly #10PM monthly #59
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position66% (96 of 146 open)58% (7 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%—100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢0%—2% (won 100% of 6)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢46% (won 100% of 6)—32% (won 100% of 100)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 100% of 7)—60% (won 100% of 189)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up0%—7% (won 100% of 22)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188binaklHomeRunHazardVirIntrepidus
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $2.3KTitans $198K
Bills vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Bills
——Bills $28KJets $72K
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
——Packers $17KVikings $14K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
——49ers $25KCowboys $275
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $20KSeahawks $63K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $16KVikings $16K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $13KChiefs $8.8K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $2.3KCowboys $5.9K
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $293Seahawks $5.3K