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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188FlaznorpHomeRunHazardshineforeverr
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)71% (2090–853, n=2943)54% (448–384, n=832)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$856K$388K$332K$318
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #13PM monthly #9PM monthly #251
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position51% (113 of 220 open)67% (82 of 123 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%25% of 4 at avg 48¢, ROI −22%
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)25% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 68)50% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 64% of 103)60% (won 100% of 127)0%
Entries 70¢ and up0%27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 15)25% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188FlaznorpHomeRunHazardshineforeverr
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $14Under $986—
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Duke
—Duke $356Miami (FL) $48—
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $6.1KPelicans $7.9K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $388Heat $1.1K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Falcons $1.2K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $26Texas Tech $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—